HMPPS Transgender | Nonbinary (TG|NB) Statistics
from original HMPPS Offender Equalities Reports
As per HMPPS Offender Equality Reports 2016, 20-17, 2018 & 2019 (links above).
MOJ also happens to administer the "Gender Recognition Panel" (GRP)
Caution: the GRC statistics link to national totals and not to GRCs granted to offenders in prison.
For the purposes of inclusion "Prisoners who have already transitioned and have a full GRC are excluded from this dataset."
Those with objective evidence of transgender status, cease to be "transgender" - Seriously?
MOJ /HMPPS definition of 'transgender'- "in-transition but NO Gender Recognition Certificate (GRC)"
Definition of "Statistic"
Real Statistic = Numerical Value + Precise Description in Words
Statistics have been given a very bad wrap, the real ones as opposed to the ones that generate that old saying "...lies, damn lies, and statistics...", mistakenly used to dismissed ALL statistics in a classic throwing out of the baby with the bathwater! I like the wiki definition of statistics "a discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data". In order to achieve that a numerical value must have a clear definition in words of that numerical value, with a clarity of boundaries between one numerical quantity and another. Words and definitions, are therefore extremely important for accurate statistics.
Sex-Differential in Statistics on MOJ-Defined "Transgender" Offenders from Year 1 (24 Nov 2016)
In the table above you can see that even in the first year of HMPPS data collection of transgender offender statistics, there is a clear disproportion that looks suspiciously like a sex-differential. For the three succeeding years, while the raw data increases in line with what you might expect with increasing confidence of disclosure, what emerges when you run a percentage of the total, is a remarkably constant 79-80% of all "transgender" offender are MALE ie transwomen (transgender males). The first year has been discounted consistent with good practice i) statistically immature processes (both staff and inmates) ii) the 79-80% percentage is consistent for 2017 & 2018 & 2019.
A number of points arise:
1) MOJ definition "Transgender" means "In-transition, recognised as genuine by prison authorities but NO GRC" - the only objective legal evidence of transgender status.
2) Offenders with GRCs are likely to show the same sort of sex differential ie 80% : 18% male to female, therefore the actual total will be higher.
3) DNS = "did not state" are also likely to demonstrate this same 80% : 18% female ratio...
UNLESS or UNTIL the MOJ publishes sex dis-aggregated transgender statistics.
UNLESS or UNTIL the MOJ publishes transgender statistics which include offenders with GRCs
with information as to GRCs per annum granted to offenders currently serving custodial sentences in prison
The onus is upon the MOJ to publish accurate ie sex-dis-aggregated "transgender" statistics